Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Jaspers WAG @ MAN

WAGNER

SEAHAWKSWAG

0-5  |  Road

103
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 5:00 PM ET
Draddy Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

MANHATTAN

JASPERSMAN

3-3  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
JASPERS
0%
SEAHAWKS --
JASPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
MANHATTAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Manhattan)
SeahawksWAG (-3.5) 0 JaspersMAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

1.4%

Jaspers Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MAN -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAN)

WAG By 1-7 points

1.1%

WAG By 8-14 points

0.1%

MAN By 1-7 points

5.8%

MAN By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
63
WAGNER
85
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
68
WAGNER
71
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jaspers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaspers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jaspers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Jaspers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 WAG @ MAN 103 - 101
Dec 18, 2024 MAN @ WAG 80 - 66
Dec 30, 2023 WAG @ MAN 68 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +16.3% more
Manhattan: 13.5 vs Wagner: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Manhattan: 68.9% vs Wagner: 62.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Manhattan: 39.2% vs Wagner: 34.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Manhattan: 44.4% vs Wagner: 42.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAG Score 63.0 103
MAN Score 85.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.2 / 34.3 44.0 / 56.0
Assists 13.5 / 11.6 17.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.7 / 2.2 6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 42.0 45.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 68.9 / 62.8 77.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 31.1 / 35.9 31.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.0 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 14.5 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
MAN
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
MAN
11-19-1 (36.7%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +4.4
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
WAG
MAN
WAG
ML
52% 16-15
63% 19-11
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
ATS
52% 16-15
60% 18-12
69% 22-10
57% 17-13
TTL
77% 24-7
53% 16-14
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 24 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 1 hour, 36 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 13 hours ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 7 hours ago