AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
CARDINALS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
LOUISVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Louisville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LOU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LOU)
NJIT By 1-7 points
2.2%
NJIT By 8-14 points
0.4%
LOU By 1-7 points
9.3%
LOU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
62
NJIT
Louisville
81
LOUISVILLE
Simulated Score
NJIT
61
NJIT
Louisville
82
LOUISVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
NJIT @ LOU
47 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+80.4% more
Louisville: 8.4
vs
NJIT: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+71.7% more
Louisville: 17.9
vs
NJIT: 10.4
Blocks (L5)
+60.8% more
Louisville: 5.5
vs
NJIT: 3.4
Rebounding (L5)
+15.0% more
Louisville: 42.5
vs
NJIT: 37.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
62.0
47
LOU Score
81.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 32.7
42.0 / 26.0
Assists
17.9 / 10.4
24.0 / 6.0
Blocks
5.5 / 3.4
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 37.0
49.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 69.7
86.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
42.5 / 37.0
59.0 / 21.0
Steals
8.4 / 4.7
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 15.6
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
LOU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
LOU
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
LOU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LOU
NJIT
LOU
NJIT
ML
63%
22-13
78%
25-7
71%
24-10
62%
20-12
ATS
71%
25-10
72%
23-9
71%
24-10
62%
20-12
TTL
63%
22-13
47%
15-17
100%
34-0
100%
32-0