NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
10-6 | Road
129
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
4-13 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
HORNETS
100%
KNICKS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
200.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
25.3%
NY By 8-14 points
26.2%
CHA By 1-7 points
13.7%
CHA By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
104
NEW YORK
Charlotte
96
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
New York
103
NEW YORK
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u241.0
Win
Proj Total: 200.0
D
Sim
u241.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
CHA @ NY
110 - 96
Mar 26, 2026
NY @ CHA
103 - 114
Dec 3, 2025
CHA @ NY
104 - 119
Nov 26, 2025
NY @ CHA
129 - 101
Mar 20, 2025
NY @ CHA
98 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.8% more
New York: 5.6
vs
Charlotte: 3.2
Steals (L5)
+13.5% more
New York: 6.8
vs
Charlotte: 5.9
Assists (L5)
+8.7% more
New York: 27.4
vs
Charlotte: 25.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
New York: 49.3%
vs
Charlotte: 44.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
104.0
129
CHA Score
96.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 33.5
30.0 / 52.0
Assists
25.0 / 27.4
15.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 49.3
41.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
86.4 / 74.7
75.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 43.0
35.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.8
5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 11.7
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
NY
CHA
NY
ML
61%
60-39
61%
114-72
48%
40-44
56%
57-45
ATS
60%
59-40
67%
124-62
48%
40-44
56%
57-45
TTL
58%
57-42
72%
133-53
100%
84-0
100%
102-0
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