Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pacers @ Raptors IND @ TOR

INDIANA

PACERSIND

2-15  |  Road

95
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 7:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

13-5  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
📊
RAPTORS
0%
PACERS --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Toronto)
PacersIND (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pacers Cover

30.9%

Raptors Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

IND By 1-7 points

18.6%

IND By 8-14 points

8.0%

TOR By 1-7 points

27.2%

TOR By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
105
INDIANA
110
TORONTO
Simulated Score
114
INDIANA
118
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raptors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raptors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raptors (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Raptors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 8, 2026 IND @ TOR 104 - 122
Jan 14, 2026 TOR @ IND 115 - 101
Nov 26, 2025 IND @ TOR 95 - 97
Nov 15, 2025 TOR @ IND 129 - 111
Feb 26, 2025 TOR @ IND 91 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.2% more
Toronto: 30.1 vs Indiana: 23.9
Steals (L5) +18.7% more
Toronto: 10.1 vs Indiana: 8.5
Rebounding (L5) +12.1% more
Toronto: 42.8 vs Indiana: 38.2
Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Toronto: 50.6% vs Indiana: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IND Score 105.0 95
TOR Score 110.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 35.7 19.0 / 33.0
Assists 30.1 / 23.9 18.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.1 / 5.1 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 50.6 / 45.5 39.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 76.6 / 81.2 81.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 42.8 / 38.2 48.0 / 43.0
Steals 10.1 / 8.5 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 14.4 13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
IND
TOR
IND
ML
55% 57-47
48% 47-50
55% 48-39
54% 45-38
ATS
61% 62-40-2
59% 57-40
55% 48-39
54% 45-38
TTL
60% 62-42
54% 52-45
100% 87-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 45 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 53 minutes ago
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
kcci 19 hours, 2 minutes ago
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
headtopics 19 hours, 3 minutes ago
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
cbssports 1 day ago