Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bisons @ Thundering Herd LIP @ MRSH

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

3-4  |  Road

90
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 4:00 PM ET
Cam Henderson Center
View Odds Details →

MARSHALL

THUNDERING HERDMRSH

5-2  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
THUNDERING HERD
100%
BISONS --
THUNDERING HERD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Lipscomb)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 Thundering HerdMRSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

100.0%

Thundering Herd Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIP -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

LIP By 1-7 points

0.0%

LIP By 8-14 points

0.1%

MRSH By 1-7 points

0.0%

MRSH By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
99
LIPSCOMB
52
MARSHALL
Simulated Score
70
LIPSCOMB
75
MARSHALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thundering Herd Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bisons (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim Thundering Herd (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 LIP @ MRSH 90 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.9% more
Lipscomb: 11.0 vs Marshall: 6.7
Blocks (L5) +95.6% more
Marshall: 5.8 vs Lipscomb: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Marshall: 40.2% vs Lipscomb: 34.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
Marshall: 46.5% vs Lipscomb: 41.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 99.0 90
MRSH Score 52.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 34.1 23.0 / 50.0
Assists 17.8 / 19.1 9.0 / 19.0
Blocks 5.8 / 3.0 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 41.4 35.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 77.3 / 73.3 77.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 39.3 39.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.7 / 11.0 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 12.8 17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
MRSH
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
MRSH
10-20-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
MRSH
19-11-1
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRSH
LIP
MRSH
LIP
ML
70% 21-9
71% 22-9
62% 18-11
66% 19-10
ATS
70% 21-9
71% 22-9
62% 18-11
66% 19-10
TTL
50% 15-15
58% 18-13
100% 29-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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