VANDERBILT
COMMODORESVAN
6-0 | Road
83
WESTERN KENTUCKY
HILLTOPPERSWKU
4-1 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
COMMODORES
0%
HILLTOPPERS
100%
COMMODORES
--
HILLTOPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Vanderbilt)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VAN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1-7 points
24.3%
VAN By 8-14 points
26.8%
WKU By 1-7 points
12.2%
WKU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Vanderbilt
73
VANDERBILT
Western Kentucky
64
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Vanderbilt
69
VANDERBILT
Western Kentucky
73
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Commodores
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hilltoppers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Commodores (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Hilltoppers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
VAN @ WKU
83 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.2% more
Vanderbilt: 5.2
vs
Western Kentucky: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+34.5% more
Vanderbilt: 21.1
vs
Western Kentucky: 13.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.4%
Vanderbilt: 35.4%
vs
Western Kentucky: 27.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Vanderbilt: 50.6%
vs
Western Kentucky: 45.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
73.0
83
WKU Score
64.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.0 / 35.4
32.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.8 / 21.1
13.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.6 / 5.2
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 50.6
37.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 74.3
73.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 41.9
42.0 / 37.0
Steals
10.1 / 9.7
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 8.2
17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VAN
Advantage
27-9-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
WKU
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VAN
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
WKU
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
VAN
WKU
VAN
ML
56%
18-14
69%
25-11
66%
21-11
56%
18-14
ATS
53%
17-15
78%
28-8
66%
21-11
56%
18-14
TTL
56%
18-14
58%
21-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
Georgia vs Vanderbilt: Live Score Updates and Nate Frazier Injur…
WKU Men's Basketball Kicks Off Official Practices with Revamped …