WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
4-2 | Road
83
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
4-2 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
NORSE
0%
TERRIERS
--
NORSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Northern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NKU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NKU)
WOF By 1-7 points
4.8%
WOF By 8-14 points
1.1%
NKU By 1-7 points
15.3%
NKU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
67
WOFFORD
Northern Kentucky
82
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Wofford
69
WOFFORD
Northern Kentucky
73
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Norse
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Norse
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Norse (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Norse (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
WOF @ NKU
83 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+108.9% more
Northern Kentucky: 11.1
vs
Wofford: 5.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Northern Kentucky: 71.1%
vs
Wofford: 65.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Northern Kentucky: 38.2%
vs
Wofford: 34.3%
Blocks (L5)
+33.0% more
Wofford: 3.9
vs
Northern Kentucky: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
67.0
83
NKU Score
82.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 34.3
38.0 / 41.0
Assists
16.8 / 17.9
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.9
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 50.0
52.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 65.0
76.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 37.2
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
11.1 / 5.3
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 11.7
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
NKU
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
NKU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NKU
WOF
NKU
WOF
ML
53%
18-16
39%
12-19
65%
22-12
61%
19-12
ATS
56%
19-15
58%
18-13
65%
22-12
61%
19-12
TTL
68%
23-11
65%
20-11
100%
34-0
100%
31-0