Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Beacons USI @ VAL

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

1-5  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 3:00 PM ET
Athletics-Recreation Center
View Odds Details →

VALPARAISO

BEACONSVAL

4-1  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
📊
BEACONS
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
BEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
VALPARAISO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Valparaiso)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 BeaconsVAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

0.1%

Beacons Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VAL -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAL)

USI By 1-7 points

0.1%

USI By 8-14 points

0.0%

VAL By 1-7 points

1.1%

VAL By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
56
SOUTHERN INDIANA
86
VALPARAISO
Simulated Score
65
SOUTHERN INDIANA
72
VALPARAISO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Beacons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Beacons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Beacons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Beacons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 USI @ VAL 64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +56.3% more
Valparaiso: 5.1 vs Southern Indiana: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5) +11.3%
Valparaiso: 71.2% vs Southern Indiana: 59.9%
Rebounding (L5) +8.0% more
Valparaiso: 37.9 vs Southern Indiana: 35.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Valparaiso: 34.5% vs Southern Indiana: 28.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 56.0 64
VAL Score 86.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 28.8 15.0 / 36.0
Assists 12.5 / 13.6 7.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.3 10.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 44.0 29.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 71.2 / 59.9 60.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 35.1 48.0 / 51.0
Steals 6.3 / 6.6 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 13.4 9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
VAL Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
VAL Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
VAL
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAL
USI
VAL
USI
ML
48% 16-17
67% 20-10
61% 20-13
61% 17-11
ATS
52% 17-16
70% 21-9
61% 20-13
61% 17-11
TTL
61% 20-13
73% 22-8
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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