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HARVARD

CRIMSONHARV

4-3  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 4:00 PM ET
Conte Forum
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

3-4  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
CRIMSON --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Boston College)
CrimsonHARV (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crimson Cover

24.2%

Eagles Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

HARV By 1-7 points

15.3%

HARV By 8-14 points

5.8%

BC By 1-7 points

26.2%

BC By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
HARVARD
77
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
65
HARVARD
72
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 HARV @ BC 60 - 73
Nov 18, 2023 HARV @ BC 64 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +99.1% more
Boston College: 4.7 vs Harvard: 2.3
Rebounding (L5) +45.0% more
Boston College: 38.2 vs Harvard: 26.4
Steals (L5) +46.0% more
Harvard: 7.6 vs Boston College: 4.1
Assists (L5) +34.7% more
Harvard: 17.1 vs Boston College: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HARV Score 70.0 60
BC Score 77.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.1 / 39.3 40.0 / 26.0
Assists 11.1 / 17.1 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.7 / 2.3 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.3 / 49.4 44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 69.9 / 83.8 90.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 26.4 34.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.1 / 7.6 2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 12.4 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +2.6
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
12-13-1 (48.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +2.6
BC Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4% Total +/-: -4.3
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
HARV
BC
HARV
ML
61% 19-12
45% 13-16
61% 17-11
52% 15-14
ATS
73% 22-8-1
45% 13-16
61% 17-11
52% 15-14
TTL
61% 19-12
41% 12-17
100% 28-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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