Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hokies @ Rams VT @ CSU

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

6-0  |  Road

66
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 5:00 PM ET
Imperial Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO STATE

RAMSCSU

4-2  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
HOKIES
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
HOKIES --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Virginia Tech)
HokiesVT (-3.5) 0 RamsCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hokies Cover

90.3%

Rams Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

VT By 1-7 points

18.6%

VT By 8-14 points

26.8%

CSU By 1-7 points

6.8%

CSU By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
74
VIRGINIA TECH
61
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
68
VIRGINIA TECH
72
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hokies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hokies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 VT @ CSU 66 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +51.5% more
Virginia Tech: 6.9 vs Colorado State: 3.4
Blocks (L5) +50.0% more
Virginia Tech: 3.6 vs Colorado State: 1.8
Rebounding (L5) +10.1% more
Virginia Tech: 39.3 vs Colorado State: 35.4
Free Throw % (L5) +18.2%
Colorado State: 83.7% vs Virginia Tech: 65.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VT Score 74.0 66
CSU Score 61.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.7 / 31.9 21.0 / 32.0
Assists 16.7 / 15.6 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.8 / 3.6 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 47.0 46.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 83.7 / 65.6 75.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 39.3 35.0 / 28.0
Steals 3.4 / 6.9 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 9.5 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
CSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
CSU
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
VT
CSU
VT
ML
56% 19-15
53% 17-15
65% 20-11
72% 23-9
ATS
62% 21-13
59% 19-13
65% 20-11
72% 23-9
TTL
56% 19-15
69% 22-10
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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