Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Wildcats TNTC @ UK

TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

3-3  |  Road

54
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Rupp Arena
View Odds Details →

KENTUCKY

WILDCATSUK

4-2  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
90.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Kentucky)
Golden EaglesTNTC (-3.5) 0 WildcatsUK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

2.3%

Wildcats Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UK -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UK)

TNTC By 1-7 points

1.7%

TNTC By 8-14 points

0.3%

UK By 1-7 points

8.0%

UK By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
35
TENNESSEE TECH
55
KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
62
TENNESSEE TECH
88
KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+37.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 90.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 TNTC @ UK 54 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +31.3% more
Kentucky: 5.1 vs Tennessee Tech: 3.9
Assists (L5) +22.8% more
Kentucky: 18.4 vs Tennessee Tech: 15.0
Rebounding (L5) +9.2% more
Kentucky: 44.7 vs Tennessee Tech: 40.9
Steals (L5) +8.4% more
Kentucky: 8.0 vs Tennessee Tech: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score 35.0 54
UK Score 55.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 29.7 50.0 / 21.0
Assists 18.4 / 15.0 27.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.9 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 46.7 59.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 66.2 / 75.9 85.0 / 40.0
Rebounding 44.7 / 40.9 48.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.0 / 7.4 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 15.7 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
UK Advantage
22-14-0 (61.1%)
Margin: 6.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
UK
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 6.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UK
TNTC
UK
TNTC
ML
71% 25-10
50% 15-15
72% 23-9
65% 15-8
ATS
83% 29-6
50% 15-15
72% 23-9
65% 15-8
TTL
63% 22-13
57% 17-13
100% 32-0
100% 23-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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