Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bearcats EMU @ CIN

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

3-3  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Fifth Third Arena
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

BEARCATSCIN

5-1  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
BEARCATS
0%
EAGLES --
BEARCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Cincinnati)
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 BearcatsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

4.5%

Bearcats Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIN -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

EMU By 1-7 points

3.3%

EMU By 8-14 points

0.6%

CIN By 1-7 points

12.2%

CIN By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
60
EASTERN MICHIGAN
77
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
65
EASTERN MICHIGAN
82
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Bearcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 EMU @ CIN 64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +130.6% more
Cincinnati: 4.5 vs Eastern Michigan: 1.9
Assists (L5) +50.5% more
Cincinnati: 19.2 vs Eastern Michigan: 12.8
Steals (L5) +29.6% more
Cincinnati: 7.7 vs Eastern Michigan: 5.9
Rebounding (L5) +9.1% more
Cincinnati: 39.6 vs Eastern Michigan: 36.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 60.0 64
CIN Score 77.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 29.1 24.0 / 33.0
Assists 19.2 / 12.8 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.5 / 1.9 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 42.7 34.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 64.3 / 74.3 79.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 36.3 29.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.7 / 5.9 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 12.5 12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
CIN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
CIN
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
EMU
CIN
EMU
ML
67% 22-11
65% 20-11
74% 23-8
70% 21-9
ATS
64% 21-12
65% 20-11
74% 23-8
70% 21-9
TTL
67% 22-11
71% 22-9
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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