NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
11-11-2 | Road
4
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
14-6-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.00 | 0.947 | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.947
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
RANGERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
NYR By 1 goal
6.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
CAR By 1 goal
17.5%
CAR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
1
NEW YORK
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Push
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
CAR @ NYR
2 - 0
Dec 29, 2025
NYR @ CAR
2 - 3
Nov 26, 2025
NYR @ CAR
4 - 2
Nov 4, 2025
CAR @ NYR
3 - 0
Apr 12, 2025
NYR @ CAR
3 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+55.0% more
Carolina: 33.1
vs
New York: 21.4
Takeaways (L5)
+15.4% more
Carolina: 5.5
vs
New York: 4.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+45.5% more
New York: 15.5
vs
Carolina: 8.5
Hits (L5)
+43.3% more
New York: 28.7
vs
Carolina: 16.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
1.0
4
CAR Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
8.5 / 15.5
10.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
51.8 / 54.6
45.9 / 54.1
Hits
16.3 / 28.7
26.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
19.4 / 22.6
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.1 / 21.4
38.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.8
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NYR
CAR
NYR
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
TTL
0%
0-4
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
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