BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
13-11-0 | Road
3
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
13-8-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 1.00 | 0.977 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 3.25 | 0.786 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.25
0.977 Ldr
Save %
0.786
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
BRUINS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
BOS @ NYI
3 - 1
Nov 4, 2025
BOS @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 28, 2025
NYI @ BOS
2 - 5
Feb 27, 2025
NYI @ BOS
2 - 1
Jan 5, 2025
NYI @ BOS
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+34.6% more
New York: 5.0
vs
Boston: 3.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.8%
New York: 50.9%
vs
Boston: 49.1%
Hits (L5)
+45.4% more
Boston: 29.4
vs
New York: 16.1
Power Play % (L5)
+21.3%
Boston: 24.8%
vs
New York: 3.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
3
NYI Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 16.2
17.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
50.9 / 49.1
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
16.1 / 29.4
17.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
345.0 / 2476.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 31.3
44.0 / 14.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 3.7
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
BOS
NYI
BOS
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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