SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
11-9-3 | Road
0
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
16-1-5 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 3.42 | 0.913 | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.42
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.913
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
SHARKS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
SJ By 1 goal
6.6%
SJ By 2-3 goals
3.7%
COL By 1 goal
17.5%
COL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
1
SAN JOSE
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+2.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Push
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
SJ @ COL
2 - 4
Nov 26, 2025
SJ @ COL
0 - 6
Nov 1, 2025
COL @ SJ
2 - 3
Mar 6, 2025
SJ @ COL
3 - 7
Dec 19, 2024
COL @ SJ
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.0% more
Colorado: 29.1
vs
San Jose: 24.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.8% more
San Jose: 16.3
vs
Colorado: 13.3
Power Play % (L5)
+8.4%
San Jose: 14.5%
vs
Colorado: 6.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.8%
San Jose: 46.9%
vs
Colorado: 44.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
1.0
0
COL Score
3.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 16.3
22.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
44.1 / 46.9
51.8 / 48.2
Hits
23.8 / 22.5
10.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
6.1 / 14.5
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.1 / 24.7
42.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 3.9
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SJ
COL
SJ
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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