MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
11-7-3 | Road
4
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
12-8-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 3.00 | 0.912 | -- |
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 4.19 | 0.765 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.19
0.912 Ldr
Save %
0.765
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
MAMMOTH
0%
CANADIENS
--
MAMMOTH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Utah
3
UTAH
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Utah
3
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
MTL @ UTA
4 - 3
Nov 8, 2025
UTA @ MTL
2 - 6
Jan 14, 2025
MTL @ UTA
5 - 3
Nov 26, 2024
UTA @ MTL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+20.5% more
Montreal: 22.7
vs
Utah: 18.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.8% more
Montreal: 16.1
vs
Utah: 13.0
Takeaways (L5)
+18.8% more
Montreal: 5.4
vs
Utah: 4.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.5%
Montreal: 50.0%
vs
Utah: 41.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
2.0
4
UTA Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.0 / 16.1
13.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
41.5 / 50.0
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
18.1 / 22.7
18.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
1.0 / 9.3
25.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 27.9
34.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.4
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
MTL
UTA
MTL
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
TTL
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
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