OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
11-7-4 | Road
4
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
10-5-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.78 | 0.914 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.78
GAA
--
0.914
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
SENATORS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 25, 2026
VGK @ OTT
1 - 7
Nov 26, 2025
OTT @ VGK
4 - 3
Nov 21, 2024
VGK @ OTT
3 - 2
Oct 25, 2024
OTT @ VGK
4 - 6
Feb 24, 2024
VGK @ OTT
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.1% more
Vegas: 31.8
vs
Ottawa: 25.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.4% more
Vegas: 13.9
vs
Ottawa: 12.7
Power Play % (L5)
+7.7%
Vegas: 20.8%
vs
Ottawa: 13.1%
Hits (L5)
+24.3% more
Ottawa: 22.6
vs
Vegas: 17.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.0
4
VGK Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 12.7
12.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
57.0 / 61.1
45.2 / 54.8
Hits
17.1 / 22.6
33.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
20.8 / 13.1
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
31.8 / 25.4
35.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 3.8
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
OTT
VGK
OTT
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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