VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
9-12-2 | Road
5
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
14-7-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Nikita Tolopilo
#60 | G@
GOALTENDER
Petr Mrazek
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tolopilo | None-None | 4.01 | 0.902 | -- |
| Petr Mrazek | None-None | 4.12 | 0.852 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.01 Ldr
GAA
4.12
0.902 Ldr
Save %
0.852
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
DUCKS
0%
CANUCKS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
ANA By 1 goal
19.7%
ANA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u7.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
VAN @ ANA
4 - 3
Mar 24, 2026
ANA @ VAN
5 - 3
Jan 29, 2026
ANA @ VAN
0 - 2
Nov 26, 2025
VAN @ ANA
5 - 4
Apr 5, 2025
ANA @ VAN
2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+54.4% more
Anaheim: 6.3
vs
Vancouver: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.3% more
Anaheim: 15.9
vs
Vancouver: 12.7
Power Play % (L5)
+24.7%
Vancouver: 31.2%
vs
Anaheim: 6.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.7%
Vancouver: 52.3%
vs
Anaheim: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.0
5
ANA Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 12.7
16.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
41.7 / 52.3
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
20.1 / 19.6
15.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
6.6 / 31.2
16.7 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
29.7 / 27.7
41.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 4.1
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
VAN
ANA
VAN
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
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