Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Black Knights ETAM @ ARMY

EAST TEXAS A&M

LIONSETAM

2-3  |  Road

84
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 2:00 PM ET
Bogota Savings Bank Center
View Odds Details →

ARMY

BLACK KNIGHTSARMY

1-5  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
📊
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
LIONS --
BLACK KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EAST TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (East Texas A&M)
LionsETAM (-3.5) 0 Black KnightsARMY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

54.0%

Black Knights Cover

46.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ETAM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETAM)

ETAM By 1-7 points

26.2%

ETAM By 8-14 points

16.9%

ARMY By 1-7 points

24.3%

ARMY By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
74
EAST TEXAS A&M
73
ARMY
Simulated Score
68
EAST TEXAS A&M
72
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lions Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Black Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lions (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Black Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 ETAM @ ARMY 84 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +69.3% more
East Texas A&M: 3.1 vs Army: 1.0
Assists (L5) +50.4% more
East Texas A&M: 21.3 vs Army: 10.6
Steals (L5) +37.9% more
East Texas A&M: 9.6 vs Army: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.2%
East Texas A&M: 38.3% vs Army: 23.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score 74.0 84
ARMY Score 73.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.1 / 38.3 30.0 / 40.0
Assists 10.6 / 21.3 9.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.0 / 3.1 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 37.5 / 45.9 39.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 61.5 70.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 35.0 35.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.0 / 9.6 2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 12.3 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
ARMY
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
ARMY
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.3
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
ETAM
ARMY
ETAM
ML
44% 14-18
52% 13-12
50% 16-16
62% 15-9
ATS
44% 14-18
56% 14-11
50% 16-16
62% 15-9
TTL
81% 26-6
68% 17-8
100% 32-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
si 6 days, 2 hours ago
Lions Edge Jets 31-24: Gibbs' Hat Trick, TeSlaa's Breakout, and …
si 1 week, 4 days ago
Lions' Draft Radar: Five College Standouts to Watch in Week 4
si 1 week, 5 days ago
Chris Spatola, ESPN Analyst and Former Duke Assistant, Dies at 47
foxnews 2 weeks, 1 day ago
Lions Edge Saints in Overtime Thriller: Winners and Losers from …
si 3 weeks, 4 days ago