Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Hawks HAMP @ UMES

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

2-5  |  Road

74
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Hytche Center
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

HAWKSUMES

3-5  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
📊
HAWKS
100%
PIRATES --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Hampton)
PiratesHAMP (-3.5) 0 HawksUMES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

86.4%

Hawks Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HAMP -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)

HAMP By 1-7 points

21.6%

HAMP By 8-14 points

27.4%

UMES By 1-7 points

9.3%

UMES By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
68
HAMPTON
57
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Simulated Score
64
HAMPTON
71
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pirates Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pirates (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 HAMP @ UMES 74 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +13.6% more
Hampton: 3.1 vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.7
Assists (L5) +43.6% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 12.5 vs Hampton: 8.7
Turnovers (L5) +29.1% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 15.6 vs Hampton: 12.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 31.2% vs Hampton: 25.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 68.0 74
UMES Score 57.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 25.4 36.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.5 / 8.7 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.1 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 39.8 43.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 60.0 / 61.2 74.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 36.3 31.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.4 3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 12.1 7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
UMES
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
UMES
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UMES
HAMP
UMES
HAMP
ML
66% 21-11
53% 17-15
81% 21-5
75% 24-8
ATS
69% 22-10
50% 16-16
81% 21-5
75% 24-8
TTL
66% 21-11
68% 21-10-1
100% 26-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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