Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Eagles RICE @ FGCU

RICE

OWLSRICE

2-4  |  Road

63
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Alico Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

3-2  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
OWLS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
OwlsRICE (-3.5) 0 EaglesFGCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

0.0%

Eagles Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FGCU -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)

RICE By 1-7 points

0.0%

RICE By 8-14 points

0.0%

FGCU By 1-7 points

0.3%

FGCU By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
57
RICE
92
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
69
RICE
73
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 RICE @ FGCU 63 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +16.3% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 3.6 vs Rice: 3.1
Assists (L5) +11.6% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 14.7 vs Rice: 13.2
Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
Florida Gulf Coast: 50.3% vs Rice: 40.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.8%
Florida Gulf Coast: 70.3% vs Rice: 63.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RICE Score 57.0 63
FGCU Score 92.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 36.4 44.0 / 17.0
Assists 14.7 / 13.2 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.1 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 40.5 40.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 63.5 73.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 37.0 45.0 / 38.0
Steals 8.2 / 7.7 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 13.6 16.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.4
FGCU Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.4
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.4
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
RICE
FGCU
RICE
ML
58% 19-14
53% 16-14
67% 22-11
53% 16-14
ATS
61% 20-13
60% 18-12
67% 22-11
53% 16-14
TTL
61% 20-13
77% 23-7
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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