Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Delta Devils @ Aggies MVSU @ TA&M

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

1-6  |  Road

84
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 8:00 PM ET
Reed Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

4-2  |  Home

120
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
AGGIES
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Texas A&M)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 AggiesTA&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

3.6%

Aggies Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

MVSU By 1-7 points

2.7%

MVSU By 8-14 points

0.5%

TA&M By 1-7 points

10.7%

TA&M By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
63
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
81
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
54
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
92
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Aggies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 MVSU @ TA&M 84 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +124.9% more
Texas A&M: 22.4 vs Mississippi Valley State: 9.9
Blocks (L5) +15.3% more
Texas A&M: 2.9 vs Mississippi Valley State: 2.5
Rebounding (L5) +11.9% more
Texas A&M: 34.6 vs Mississippi Valley State: 31.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.2%
Texas A&M: 36.7% vs Mississippi Valley State: 25.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 63.0 84
TA&M Score 81.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 25.5 47.0 / 45.0
Assists 22.4 / 9.9 25.0 / 25.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.5 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 43.7 50.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 77.7 84.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 31.0 31.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.7 13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 13.3 13.0 / 31.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
TA&M Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
MVSU
TA&M
MVSU
ML
67% 20-10
91% 30-3
54% 15-13
75% 18-6
ATS
67% 20-10
82% 27-6
54% 15-13
75% 18-6
TTL
70% 21-9
58% 19-14
100% 28-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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