Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Grizzlies @ Grizzlies OAK @ MONT

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

1-5  |  Road

95
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 9:00 PM ET
Dahlberg Arena
View Odds Details →

MONTANA

GRIZZLIESMONT

4-3  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
GRIZZLIES
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Oakland)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 GrizzliesMONT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

97.1%

Grizzlies Cover

2.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OAK -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

OAK By 1-7 points

9.3%

OAK By 8-14 points

20.1%

MONT By 1-7 points

2.2%

MONT By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
101
OAKLAND
82
MONTANA
Simulated Score
70
OAKLAND
72
MONTANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Grizzlies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Grizzlies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 OAK @ MONT 95 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.7% more
Oakland: 8.3 vs Montana: 5.0
Blocks (L5) +11.8% more
Oakland: 2.6 vs Montana: 2.3
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Oakland: 49.3% vs Montana: 45.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
Oakland: 72.9% vs Montana: 70.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 101.0 95
MONT Score 82.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 30.7 43.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.9 / 15.8 24.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.6 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 49.3 51.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 72.9 59.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 33.7 35.0 / 38.0
Steals 5.0 / 8.3 2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 10.3 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
MONT Advantage
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
MONT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONT
OAK
MONT
OAK
ML
39% 13-20
62% 20-12
73% 24-9
59% 19-13
ATS
55% 18-15
50% 16-16
73% 24-9
59% 19-13
TTL
59% 19-13-1
62% 20-12
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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