EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
2-3 | Road
60
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
BEARSCARK
2-4 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
BEARS
0%
PANTHERS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Central Arkansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CARK -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CARK)
EIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
CARK By 1-7 points
0.0%
CARK By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
54
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Central Arkansas
104
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Central Arkansas
72
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
EIU @ CARK
60 - 81
Dec 10, 2023
CARK @ EIU
73 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.1% more
Central Arkansas: 8.7
vs
Eastern Illinois: 6.9
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Central Arkansas: 13.4
vs
Eastern Illinois: 11.2
Rebounding (L5)
+19.6% more
Central Arkansas: 37.9
vs
Eastern Illinois: 31.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Central Arkansas: 33.2%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 29.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
54.0
60
CARK Score
104.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 29.9
43.0 / 24.0
Assists
13.4 / 11.2
20.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.3 / 4.1
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 41.0
56.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
64.3 / 66.4
62.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 31.7
33.0 / 22.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.9
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.4
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
CARK
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
CARK
Advantage
19-10-3
(65.5%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
CARK
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CARK
EIU
CARK
EIU
ML
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
74%
23-8
ATS
61%
20-13
50%
16-16
70%
23-10
74%
23-8
TTL
50%
16-16-1
69%
22-10
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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