LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
2-4 | Road
55
MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
3-2 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
RED FOXES
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
RED FOXES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
MARIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Marist)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MRST -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRST)
LEH By 1-7 points
20.1%
LEH By 8-14 points
9.3%
MRST By 1-7 points
27.4%
MRST By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
57
LEHIGH
Marist
61
MARIST
Simulated Score
Lehigh
69
LEHIGH
Marist
74
MARIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Foxes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Foxes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Foxes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Red Foxes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
LEH @ MRST
55 - 78
Nov 30, 2024
MRST @ LEH
69 - 74
Dec 30, 2023
LEH @ MRST
65 - 58
Nov 16, 2022
MRST @ LEH
54 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.2% more
Marist: 4.2
vs
Lehigh: 2.9
Rebounding (L5)
+26.9% more
Marist: 37.8
vs
Lehigh: 29.8
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Marist: 16.0
vs
Lehigh: 13.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+19.5%
Marist: 82.2%
vs
Lehigh: 62.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
57.0
55
MRST Score
61.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 33.3
35.0 / 11.0
Assists
16.0 / 13.2
14.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 43.6
47.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
82.2 / 62.7
76.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 29.8
43.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.9
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 11.9
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
MRST
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRST
LEH
MRST
LEH
ML
55%
17-14
56%
19-15
61%
19-12
68%
23-11
ATS
74%
23-8
56%
19-15
61%
19-12
68%
23-11
TTL
52%
16-15
76%
26-8
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
