COPPIN STATE
EAGLESCOPP
1-7 | Road
68
RIDER
BRONCSRID
1-4 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
BRONCS
0%
EAGLES
--
BRONCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
RIDER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Rider)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RID -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RID)
COPP By 1-7 points
12.2%
COPP By 8-14 points
4.0%
RID By 1-7 points
24.3%
RID By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Coppin State
81
COPPIN STATE
Rider
90
RIDER
Simulated Score
Coppin State
65
COPPIN STATE
Rider
72
RIDER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Broncs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
COPP @ RID
68 - 65
Nov 9, 2024
RID @ COPP
64 - 53
Nov 12, 2021
COPP @ RID
69 - 81
Nov 5, 2019
RID @ COPP
91 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.1% more
Rider: 3.1
vs
Coppin State: 2.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.6%
Rider: 84.2%
vs
Coppin State: 69.6%
Steals (L5)
+47.2% more
Coppin State: 9.0
vs
Rider: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+33.8% more
Coppin State: 13.9
vs
Rider: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COPP Score
81.0
68
RID Score
90.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.0 / 28.3
28.0 / 45.0
Assists
9.2 / 13.9
9.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.7
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
37.1 / 39.5
30.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
84.2 / 69.6
75.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 36.6
42.0 / 45.0
Steals
4.8 / 9.0
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 15.2
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
Advantage
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
Advantage
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RID
COPP
RID
COPP
ML
72%
21-8
65%
20-11
66%
19-10
79%
19-5
ATS
72%
21-8
68%
21-10
66%
19-10
79%
19-5
TTL
62%
18-11
52%
16-15
100%
29-0
100%
24-0
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