Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Hatters WRST @ STET

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

3-3  |  Road

79
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Edmunds Center
View Odds Details →

STETSON

HATTERSSTET

3-3  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
📊
HATTERS
100%
RAIDERS --
HATTERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Wright State)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 HattersSTET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

93.3%

Hatters Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

WRST By 1-7 points

15.3%

WRST By 8-14 points

25.3%

STET By 1-7 points

4.8%

STET By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
63
WRIGHT STATE
48
STETSON
Simulated Score
75
WRIGHT STATE
78
STETSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hatters Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raiders (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Hatters (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 WRST @ STET 79 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.8% more
Wright State: 8.3 vs Stetson: 5.1
Blocks (L5) +34.6% more
Wright State: 4.2 vs Stetson: 2.7
Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
Wright State: 53.4% vs Stetson: 46.2%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.7%
Wright State: 70.2% vs Stetson: 67.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 63.0 79
STET Score 48.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 37.8 30.0 / 54.0
Assists 17.8 / 15.8 8.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.2 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 53.4 44.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 70.2 56.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 35.6 29.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.1 / 8.3 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 11.4 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
STET
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
STET
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STET
WRST
STET
WRST
ML
55% 18-15
37% 13-22
73% 24-9
63% 22-13
ATS
64% 21-12
46% 16-19
73% 24-9
63% 22-13
TTL
61% 20-13
63% 22-13
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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