Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ 76ers ORL @ PHI

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

10-8  |  Road

144
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 8:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

9-7  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
MAGIC --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Orlando)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

100.0%

76ers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

ORL By 1-7 points

0.0%

ORL By 8-14 points

0.1%

PHI By 1-7 points

0.0%

PHI By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
136
ORLANDO
89
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
115
ORLANDO
108
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Magic Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Magic Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Magic (+4) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim Magic (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u228.0 Loss
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim u228.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 ORL @ PHI 97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026 PHI @ ORL 103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025 ORL @ PHI 144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025 ORL @ PHI 124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025 ORL @ PHI 128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +9.4% more
Orlando: 29.2 vs Philadelphia: 26.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Orlando: 39.7% vs Philadelphia: 35.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Orlando: 49.0% vs Philadelphia: 44.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
Orlando: 83.5% vs Philadelphia: 80.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 136.0 144
PHI Score 89.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 39.7 36.0 / 38.0
Assists 26.5 / 29.2 22.0 / 38.0
Blocks 6.7 / 3.9 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 49.0 45.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 80.2 / 83.5 91.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 46.3 / 42.8 38.0 / 47.0
Steals 7.9 / 6.8 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 11.4 21.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ORL
PHI
ORL
ML
63% 69-40
61% 65-42
48% 45-48
56% 51-40
ATS
65% 71-38
64% 68-38-1
48% 45-48
56% 51-40
TTL
55% 60-49
57% 61-46
100% 93-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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