Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Lakers LAC @ LAL

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

5-12  |  Road

118
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 11:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

12-4  |  Home

135
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
CLIPPERS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
268.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Los Angeles)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

2.3%

Lakers Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

LAC By 1-7 points

1.7%

LAC By 8-14 points

0.3%

LAL By 1-7 points

8.0%

LAL By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
124
LA
144
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
108
LA
112
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lakers (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o229.5 Win
Proj Total: 268.0
D
Sim u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 20, 2026 LAC @ LAL 122 - 125
Jan 22, 2026 LAL @ LAC 104 - 112
Dec 20, 2025 LAL @ LAC 88 - 103
Nov 25, 2025 LAC @ LAL 118 - 135
Mar 2, 2025 LAC @ LAL 102 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.8% more
Los Angeles: 9.3 vs LA: 6.9
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Los Angeles: 49.6% vs LA: 45.9%
Blocks (L5) +13.3% more
LA: 3.5 vs Los Angeles: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +6.8%
LA: 85.3% vs Los Angeles: 78.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 124.0 118
LAL Score 144.0 135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 36.2 45.0 / 37.0
Assists 24.9 / 23.6 29.0 / 24.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.5 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 45.9 57.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 78.5 / 85.3 85.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 42.9 / 41.2 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.3 / 6.9 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.8 / 14.8 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
LAC
LAL
LAC
ML
61% 68-43
60% 59-40
54% 49-42
55% 45-37
ATS
61% 67-43-1
66% 65-33-1
54% 49-42
55% 45-37
TTL
61% 66-43-2
59% 58-40-1
100% 91-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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