NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
5-0 | Road
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
RAMBLERSLUC
1-5 | Home
51
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
RAMBLERS
100%
PANTHERS
--
RAMBLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Northern Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNI -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)
UNI By 1-7 points
0.1%
UNI By 8-14 points
0.8%
LUC By 1-7 points
0.0%
LUC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Iowa
89
NORTHERN IOWA
Loyola Chicago
51
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Northern Iowa
68
NORTHERN IOWA
Loyola Chicago
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ramblers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Ramblers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
UNI @ LUC
72 - 51
Mar 5, 2022
LUC @ UNI
66 - 43
Feb 26, 2022
LUC @ UNI
96 - 102
Feb 13, 2022
UNI @ LUC
58 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+45.8% more
Northern Iowa: 6.8
vs
Loyola Chicago: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+13.3% more
Northern Iowa: 34.7
vs
Loyola Chicago: 30.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Northern Iowa: 45.0%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 43.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.9%
Northern Iowa: 69.6%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 67.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNI Score
89.0
72
LUC Score
51.0
51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 34.4
32.0 / 43.0
Assists
14.1 / 13.9
9.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.0 / 4.5
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 45.0
30.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
67.8 / 69.6
60.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
30.0 / 34.7
43.0 / 32.0
Steals
3.7 / 6.8
2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 10.3
11.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
UNI
LUC
UNI
ML
55%
18-15
51%
18-17
50%
16-16
56%
19-15
ATS
64%
21-12
49%
17-18
50%
16-16
56%
19-15
TTL
76%
25-8
69%
24-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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