AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
VIKINGS
--
TRAILBLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRST -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
PRST By 1-7 points
21.6%
PRST By 8-14 points
27.4%
UTU By 1-7 points
9.3%
UTU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland State
75
PORTLAND STATE
Utah Tech
64
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
Portland State
73
PORTLAND STATE
Utah Tech
78
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trailblazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Vikings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Trailblazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
PRST @ UTU
68 - 63
Nov 30, 2024
UTU @ PRST
68 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.4% more
Portland State: 17.8
vs
Utah Tech: 12.4
Rebounding (L5)
+17.0% more
Portland State: 44.0
vs
Utah Tech: 36.5
Turnovers (L5)
+9.0% more
Portland State: 13.2
vs
Utah Tech: 12.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Portland State: 37.7%
vs
Utah Tech: 28.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRST Score
75.0
68
UTU Score
64.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.9 / 37.7
24.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.4 / 17.8
17.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.0
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 49.1
44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 69.2
80.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 44.0
26.0 / 44.0
Steals
9.0 / 7.2
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 13.2
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
UTU
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
UTU
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
PRST
UTU
PRST
ML
68%
23-11
65%
20-11
62%
21-13
71%
22-9
ATS
65%
22-12
71%
22-9
62%
21-13
71%
22-9
TTL
65%
22-12
47%
14-16-1
100%
34-0
100%
31-0