Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Monarchs @ Wildcats ODU @ VILL

OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

3-4  |  Road

75
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Finneran Pavilion
View Odds Details →

VILLANOVA

WILDCATSVILL

4-1  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
MONARCHS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
VILLANOVA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Villanova)
MonarchsODU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsVILL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Monarchs Cover

1.1%

Wildcats Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VILL -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VILL)

ODU By 1-7 points

0.8%

ODU By 8-14 points

0.1%

VILL By 1-7 points

4.8%

VILL By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
52
OLD DOMINION
75
VILLANOVA
Simulated Score
62
OLD DOMINION
78
VILLANOVA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 ODU @ VILL 75 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +19.3% more
Villanova: 17.0 vs Old Dominion: 14.3
Turnovers (L5) +12.9% more
Villanova: 11.8 vs Old Dominion: 10.4
Steals (L5) +12.0% more
Villanova: 6.7 vs Old Dominion: 5.9
Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Villanova: 48.2% vs Old Dominion: 43.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 52.0 75
VILL Score 75.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 37.1 38.0 / 48.0
Assists 17.0 / 14.3 16.0 / 13.0
Blocks 1.5 / 3.5 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 43.8 54.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 66.9 73.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 36.8 34.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.7 / 5.9 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 10.4 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
VILL Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
VILL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VILL
ODU
VILL
ODU
ML
44% 14-18
52% 17-16
72% 23-9
67% 22-11
ATS
56% 18-14
70% 23-10
72% 23-9
67% 22-11
TTL
41% 13-19
70% 23-10
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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