EASTERN WASHINGTON
EAGLESEWU
1-5 | Road
71
NORTH TEXAS
MEAN GREENUNT
4-2 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
MEAN GREEN
0%
EAGLES
--
MEAN GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NORTH TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (North Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNT -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNT)
EWU By 1-7 points
13.7%
EWU By 8-14 points
4.8%
UNT By 1-7 points
25.3%
UNT By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
54
EASTERN WASHINGTON
North Texas
62
NORTH TEXAS
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
68
EASTERN WASHINGTON
North Texas
72
NORTH TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mean Green
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mean Green
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mean Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Mean Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
EWU @ UNT
71 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.4% more
North Texas: 4.0
vs
Eastern Washington: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+48.9% more
North Texas: 9.5
vs
Eastern Washington: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
North Texas: 78.7%
vs
Eastern Washington: 70.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+33.1% more
Eastern Washington: 15.7
vs
North Texas: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
54.0
71
UNT Score
62.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 34.6
28.0 / 29.0
Assists
11.9 / 13.0
13.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.5
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.5 / 45.1
43.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 70.9
67.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 34.2
38.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.5 / 6.4
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 15.7
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
UNT
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
UNT
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNT
EWU
UNT
EWU
ML
70%
23-10
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
ATS
52%
17-16
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
TTL
67%
22-11
48%
16-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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