OLE MISS
REBELSMISS
5-1 | Road
69
IOWA
HAWKEYESIOWA
6-0 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
100%
HAWKEYES
0%
REBELS
--
HAWKEYES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IOWA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IOWA)
MISS By 1-7 points
24.3%
MISS By 8-14 points
13.7%
IOWA By 1-7 points
26.2%
IOWA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Ole Miss
38
OLE MISS
Iowa
39
IOWA
Simulated Score
Ole Miss
74
OLE MISS
Iowa
78
IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawkeyes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawkeyes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawkeyes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Hawkeyes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
MISS @ IOWA
69 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.3% more
Iowa: 20.7
vs
Ole Miss: 16.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.7%
Iowa: 56.9%
vs
Ole Miss: 45.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Iowa: 39.0%
vs
Ole Miss: 36.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Iowa: 75.6%
vs
Ole Miss: 72.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MISS Score
38.0
69
IOWA Score
39.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 36.2
36.0 / 35.0
Assists
20.7 / 16.4
9.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.8 / 4.9
1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
56.9 / 45.2
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 72.8
75.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 39.7
30.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.5
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 8.8
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MISS
--
IOWA
Advantage
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MISS
--
IOWA
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MISS
--
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IOWA
MISS
IOWA
MISS
ML
59%
22-15
48%
16-17
78%
28-8
52%
17-16
ATS
76%
28-9
61%
20-13
78%
28-8
52%
17-16
TTL
57%
21-16
64%
21-12
100%
36-0
100%
33-0
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