DALLAS
STARSDAL
13-5-4 | Road
8
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
10-9-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alec Regula
#75 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.01 | 0.880 | -- |
| Alec Regula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.01
GAA
--
0.880
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
OILERS
0%
STARS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
DAL By 1 goal
12.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
EDM @ DAL
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2025
DAL @ EDM
8 - 3
Nov 4, 2025
EDM @ DAL
3 - 4
May 29, 2025
EDM @ DAL
6 - 3
May 27, 2025
DAL @ EDM
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.7% more
Edmonton: 28.8
vs
Dallas: 26.5
Power Play % (L5)
+1.6%
Edmonton: 13.1%
vs
Dallas: 11.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.0% more
Dallas: 14.0
vs
Edmonton: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
8
EDM Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.8 / 14.0
11.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
52.8 / 52.0
40.8 / 59.2
Hits
17.7 / 18.0
22.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
13.1 / 11.6
0.0 / 75.0
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 26.5
25.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 3.9
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
DAL
EDM
DAL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
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