Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blazers @ Salukis UAB @ SIU

UAB

BLAZERSUAB

4-2  |  Road

81
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 1:30 PM ET
John Hurst Adams Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

SALUKISSIU

2-2  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
100%
📊
SALUKIS
0%
BLAZERS --
SALUKIS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Southern Illinois)
BlazersUAB (-3.5) 0 SalukisSIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blazers Cover

0.5%

Salukis Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)

UAB By 1-7 points

0.4%

UAB By 8-14 points

0.0%

SIU By 1-7 points

2.7%

SIU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
UAB
97
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
70
UAB
74
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Salukis Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Salukis Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Salukis (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Salukis (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 UAB @ SIU 81 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.7% more
Southern Illinois: 11.5 vs UAB: 9.7
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Southern Illinois: 50.3% vs UAB: 46.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
Southern Illinois: 71.8% vs UAB: 68.5%
Assists (L5) +18.3% more
UAB: 19.2 vs Southern Illinois: 15.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UAB Score 71.0 81
SIU Score 97.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.1 / 29.8 17.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.7 / 19.2 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.4 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 46.3 43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 68.5 85.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 45.9 36.0 / 45.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.4 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 9.7 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
SIU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
SIU Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.8
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIU
UAB
SIU
UAB
ML
53% 17-15
59% 19-13
47% 15-17
41% 13-19
ATS
56% 18-14
56% 18-14
47% 15-17
41% 13-19
TTL
53% 17-15
69% 22-10
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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