Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Gaels GB @ IONA

GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

2-5  |  Road

80
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 3:00 PM ET
UVI Sports & Fitness Center
View Odds Details →

IONA

GAELSIONA

5-1  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
GAELS
0%
PHOENIX --
GAELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Iona)
PhoenixGB (-3.5) 0 GaelsIONA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

3.6%

Gaels Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IONA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)

GB By 1-7 points

2.7%

GB By 8-14 points

0.5%

IONA By 1-7 points

10.7%

IONA By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
79
GREEN BAY
97
IONA
Simulated Score
65
GREEN BAY
78
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gaels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gaels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gaels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Gaels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 GB @ IONA 80 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +103.6% more
Iona: 8.6 vs Green Bay: 4.2
Turnovers (L5) +37.8% more
Iona: 13.6 vs Green Bay: 9.9
Rebounding (L5) +27.4% more
Iona: 39.3 vs Green Bay: 30.8
Assists (L5) +16.7% more
Iona: 14.0 vs Green Bay: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 79.0 80
IONA Score 97.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 26.4 39.0 / 36.0
Assists 14.0 / 12.0 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.7 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 44.5 40.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 69.4 74.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 30.8 42.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.6 / 4.2 1.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 9.9 8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
IONA Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
IONA
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
GB
IONA
GB
ML
41% 13-19
48% 16-17
62% 20-12
67% 22-11
ATS
53% 17-15
52% 17-16
62% 20-12
67% 22-11
TTL
66% 21-11
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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