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MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

4-3  |  Road

73
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 12:30 PM ET
UVI Sports & Fitness Center
View Odds Details →

OREGON STATE

BEAVERSORST

3-4  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
100%
📊
BEAVERS
0%
MINUTEMEN --
BEAVERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
OREGON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Oregon State)
MinutemenMASS (-3.5) 0 BeaversORST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Minutemen Cover

0.3%

Beavers Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORST -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORST)

MASS By 1-7 points

0.3%

MASS By 8-14 points

0.0%

ORST By 1-7 points

2.2%

ORST By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
64
MASSACHUSETTS
91
OREGON STATE
Simulated Score
72
MASSACHUSETTS
68
OREGON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Beavers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Minutemen Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Beavers (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Minutemen (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 MASS @ ORST 73 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +218.1% more
Oregon State: 4.4 vs Massachusetts: 1.4
Steals (L5) +44.1% more
Oregon State: 7.2 vs Massachusetts: 5.0
Free Throw % (L5) +6.8%
Oregon State: 73.5% vs Massachusetts: 66.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Massachusetts: 44.3% vs Oregon State: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MASS Score 64.0 73
ORST Score 91.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 30.5 32.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.9 / 15.8 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.4 / 1.4 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 44.3 45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 73.5 / 66.7 71.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 35.4 31.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.2 / 5.0 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 13.2 16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
ORST
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
ORST Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
ORST
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORST
MASS
ORST
MASS
ML
45% 15-18
44% 14-18
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
ATS
48% 16-17
47% 15-17
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
TTL
55% 18-15
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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