Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Texas Tech @ West Virginia TTU @ WVU

TEXAS TECH

TEXAS TECHTTU

10-1  |  Road

49
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 12:00 PM ET
Milan Puskar Stadium
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

WEST VIRGINIAWVU

4-7  |  Home

0
Key Game
Ian Hershey
KEY GAME

Ian Hershey

#37 | Punter
@
ChaMarryus Bomar
KEY GAME

ChaMarryus Bomar

#27 | Cornerback
Player
Ian Hershey None-None
ChaMarryus Bomar None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TEXAS TECH
0%
📊
WEST VIRGINIA
100%
TEXAS TECH --
WEST VIRGINIA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
51.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Texas Tech)
Texas TechTTU (-3.5) 0 West VirginiaWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Texas Tech Cover

99.9%

West Virginia Cover

0.1%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TTU -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

TTU By 1-6 points

0.2%

TTU By 7-13 points

0.9%

WVU By 1-6 points

0.0%

WVU By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
48
TEXAS TECH
3
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
27
TEXAS TECH
30
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Texas Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim West Virginia Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Texas Tech (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
C
Sim West Virginia (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 57.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 TTU @ WVU 49 - 0
Nov 30, 2024 WVU @ TTU 15 - 52
Sep 23, 2023 TTU @ WVU 13 - 20
Oct 22, 2022 WVU @ TTU 10 - 48
Oct 2, 2021 TTU @ WVU 23 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +24.6% more
Texas Tech: 178.1 vs West Virginia: 134.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +17.0% more
Texas Tech: 0.5 vs West Virginia: 0.4
Total Yards (L5) +14.2% more
Texas Tech: 437.4 vs West Virginia: 375.3
Turnovers (L5) +54.0% more
West Virginia: 1.3 vs Texas Tech: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 48.0 49
WVU Score 3.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.9 / 21.5 9.0 / 32.0
Rushing Yards 134.3 / 178.1 37.0 / 188.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.15 / 0.67
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.33 / 0.67
Total Yards 375.3 / 437.4 180.0 / 572.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 0.7 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
WVU
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
WVU Advantage
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.5
WVU
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +10.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
TTU
WVU
TTU
ML
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
60% 3-2
100% 5-0
ATS
25% 1-3-1
80% 4-1
25% 1-3-1
40% 2-3
TTL
50% 2-2-1
80% 4-1
0% 0-4-1
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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