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GEORGIA SOUTHERN

GA SOUTHERNGASO

5-6  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 1:30 PM ET
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
View Odds Details →

MARSHALL

MARSHALLMRSH

5-6  |  Home

19
Key Game
Tripp Bryant
KEY GAME

Tripp Bryant

#95 | Place kicker
@
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw
KEY GAME

Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw

#5 | Wide Receiver
Player
Tripp Bryant None-None
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GA SOUTHERN
100%
📊
MARSHALL
0%
GA SOUTHERN --
MARSHALL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
86.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
MARSHALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Marshall)
GA SouthernGASO (-3.5) 0 MarshallMRSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

GA Southern Cover

38.8%

Marshall Cover

61.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MRSH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRSH)

GASO By 1-6 points

14.7%

GASO By 7-13 points

12.1%

MRSH By 1-6 points

17.0%

MRSH By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
41
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
45
MARSHALL
Simulated Score
24
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
28
MARSHALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Marshall Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Marshall Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Marshall (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Sim Marshall (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 86.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 GASO @ MRSH 24 - 19
Oct 12, 2024 MRSH @ GASO 23 - 24
Nov 11, 2023 GASO @ MRSH 33 - 38
Nov 19, 2022 MRSH @ GASO 23 - 10
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +63.4% more
Marshall: 1.7 vs Georgia Southern: 1.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +50.0% more
Marshall: 221.6 vs Georgia Southern: 147.7
First Downs (L5) +18.3% more
Marshall: 23.6 vs Georgia Southern: 20.0
Total Yards (L5) +8.7% more
Marshall: 445.1 vs Georgia Southern: 409.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GASO Score 41.0 24
MRSH Score 45.0 19
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.6 / 20.0 18.0 / 31.0
Rushing Yards 221.6 / 147.7 64.0 / 173.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.3 / 0.58
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.31 / 0.69
Total Yards 445.1 / 409.4 372.0 / 528.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 1.0 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
MRSH Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -12.8 ATS +/-: -13.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
MRSH
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.8 ATS +/-: -13.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -4.9
MRSH
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRSH
GASO
MRSH
GASO
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
TTL
40% 2-3
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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