LSU
LSULSU
7-4 | Road
13
OKLAHOMA
OKLAHOMAOU
9-2 | Home
17
Key Game
KEY GAME
DJ Pickett
#5 | Cornerback@
KEY GAME
Grayson Miller
#43 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| DJ Pickett | None-None |
| Grayson Miller | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LSU
100%
OKLAHOMA
0%
LSU
--
OKLAHOMA
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
38.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around OU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
LSU By 1-6 points
10.7%
LSU By 7-13 points
7.3%
OU By 1-6 points
15.3%
OU By 7-13 points
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
LSU
14
LSU
Oklahoma
24
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
LSU
31
LSU
Oklahoma
34
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oklahoma
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Oklahoma
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oklahoma (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Sim
Oklahoma (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 38.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 65.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
LSU @ OU
13 - 17
Nov 30, 2024
OU @ LSU
17 - 37
Dec 28, 2019
OU @ LSU
28 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+47.9% more
LSU: 1.2
vs
Oklahoma: 0.6
First Downs (L5)
+17.5% more
LSU: 18.8
vs
Oklahoma: 15.5
Total Yards (L5)
+11.3% more
LSU: 329.6
vs
Oklahoma: 292.5
Time of Possession (L5)
+9.0% more
LSU: 0.6
vs
Oklahoma: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LSU Score
14.0
13
OU Score
24.0
17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
15.5 / 18.8
14.0 / 9.0
Rushing Yards
118.9 / 113.6
75.0 / 85.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.27 / 0.14
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.6
0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards
292.5 / 329.6
393.0 / 198.0
Turnovers
0.6 / 1.2
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSU
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 28.4
ATS +/-: +6.3
OU
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -8.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSU
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 28.4
ATS +/-: +6.3
OU
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -8.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LSU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0%
Total +/-: +3.5
OU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -8.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
LSU
OU
LSU
ML
100%
4-0
80%
4-1
100%
4-0
80%
4-1
ATS
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
TTL
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-5
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