Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Wyoming @ Hawai'i WYO @ HAW

WYOMING

WYOMINGWYO

4-7  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 11:00 PM ET
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

HAWAI'IHAW

7-4  |  Home

27
Key Game
Landon Sims
KEY GAME

Landon Sims

#14 | Quarterback
@
Matagi Thompson
KEY GAME

Matagi Thompson

#25 | Defensive Back
Player
Landon Sims None-None
Matagi Thompson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WYOMING
100%
📊
HAWAI'I
0%
WYOMING --
HAWAI'I --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
30.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Hawai'i)
WyomingWYO (-3.5) 0 Hawai'iHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wyoming Cover

23.8%

Hawai'i Cover

76.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around HAW -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

WYO By 1-6 points

10.7%

WYO By 7-13 points

7.3%

HAW By 1-6 points

15.3%

HAW By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
10
WYOMING
20
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
20
WYOMING
27
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawai'i Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Hawai'i Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawai'i (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Sim Hawai'i (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 30.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 26, 2026 HAW @ WYO 10 - 27
Nov 29, 2025 WYO @ HAW 7 - 27
Nov 18, 2023 HAW @ WYO 9 - 42
Oct 29, 2022 WYO @ HAW 27 - 20
Nov 27, 2021 HAW @ WYO 38 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +45.7% more
Hawai'i: 369.2 vs Wyoming: 253.4
First Downs (L5) +26.4% more
Hawai'i: 18.2 vs Wyoming: 14.4
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +13.0% more
Hawai'i: 0.5 vs Wyoming: 0.3
Turnovers (L5) +11.5% more
Wyoming: 1.2 vs Hawai'i: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 10.0 7
HAW Score 20.0 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.2 / 14.4 14.0 / 16.0
Rushing Yards 99.6 / 110.5 128.0 / 54.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.36 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 369.2 / 253.4 417.0 / 256.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.2 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
HAW
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -8.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
HAW
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -8.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
HAW
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
WYO
HAW
WYO
ML
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
ATS
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
TTL
40% 2-3
0% 0-5
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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