Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / W Michigan @ E Michigan WMU @ EMU

WESTERN MICHIGAN

W MICHIGANWMU

7-4  |  Road

31
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 7:30 PM ET
Rynearson Stadium
View Odds Details →

EASTERN MICHIGAN

E MICHIGANEMU

4-7  |  Home

21
Key Game
Ryan Millmore
KEY GAME

Ryan Millmore

#25 | Punter
@
Rudy Kessinger
KEY GAME

Rudy Kessinger

#46 | Place kicker
Player
Ryan Millmore None-None
Rudy Kessinger None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
W MICHIGAN
0%
📊
E MICHIGAN
100%
W MICHIGAN --
E MICHIGAN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
24.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Western Michigan)
W MichiganWMU (-3.5) 0 E MichiganEMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

W Michigan Cover

61.2%

E Michigan Cover

38.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around WMU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WMU)

WMU By 1-6 points

17.0%

WMU By 7-13 points

18.0%

EMU By 1-6 points

14.7%

EMU By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
14
WESTERN MICHIGAN
10
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
24
WESTERN MICHIGAN
28
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI W Michigan Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim E Michigan Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI W Michigan (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Sim E Michigan (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 24.0
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 WMU @ EMU 31 - 21
Nov 30, 2024 EMU @ WMU 18 - 26
Oct 28, 2023 WMU @ EMU 45 - 21
Oct 8, 2022 EMU @ WMU 45 - 23
Nov 16, 2021 WMU @ EMU 21 - 22
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +41.2% more
Western Michigan: 244.8 vs Eastern Michigan: 143.9
Turnovers (L5) +24.0% more
Eastern Michigan: 1.2 vs Western Michigan: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WMU Score 14.0 31
EMU Score 10.0 21
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.7 / 21.3 21.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 143.9 / 244.8 134.0 / 278.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.25 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 372.3 / 359.3 461.0 / 378.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.9 5.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -0.4
EMU
3-3-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -0.4
EMU Advantage
3-3-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -6.5
EMU
2-4-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
WMU
EMU
WMU
ML
67% 4-2
80% 4-1
50% 3-3
60% 3-2
ATS
50% 3-3
80% 4-1
33% 2-4
60% 3-2
TTL
67% 4-2
60% 3-2
50% 3-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Brandon Graham's Cryptic Take on Lane Johnson's Absence Raises E…
yahoo 3 days, 20 hours ago
Boise State Rolls Past Utah State 37-18 in First Pac-12 Clash fo…
abcnews 4 days, 19 hours ago
Nebraska's Blackshirts Dominate Michigan State: Snap Counts and …
si 1 week, 4 days ago
Iowa vs. Michigan: National Experts Split on Big Ten Opener
yahoo 1 week, 5 days ago
Penn State Opens Big Ten Play Against Wisconsin, Looks to Keep R…
milwaukeesun 2 weeks, 1 day ago