Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Saints @ Crusaders SIE @ HC

SIENA

SAINTSSIE

4-2  |  Road

73
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 6:00 PM ET
Hart Center
View Odds Details →

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

1-6  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
0%
📊
CRUSADERS
100%
SAINTS --
CRUSADERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
SIENA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Siena)
SaintsSIE (-3.5) 0 CrusadersHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Saints Cover

84.1%

Crusaders Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIE -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIE)

SIE By 1-7 points

23.0%

SIE By 8-14 points

27.2%

HC By 1-7 points

10.7%

HC By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
86
SIENA
76
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
65
SIENA
68
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Saints Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Crusaders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Saints (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Crusaders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 SIE @ HC 73 - 69
Dec 20, 2024 HC @ SIE 78 - 70
Nov 6, 2023 HC @ SIE 71 - 73
Nov 7, 2022 SIE @ HC 75 - 68
Dec 11, 2021 SIE @ HC 72 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +80.9% more
Siena: 2.6 vs Holy Cross: 0.5
Assists (L5) +20.2% more
Siena: 13.1 vs Holy Cross: 10.5
Free Throw % (L5) +15.8%
Siena: 81.6% vs Holy Cross: 65.9%
Steals (L5) +14.8% more
Siena: 6.6 vs Holy Cross: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIE Score 86.0 73
HC Score 76.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 28.3 32.0 / 18.0
Assists 10.5 / 13.1 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 0.5 / 2.6 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 45.0 54.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 65.9 / 81.6 70.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 30.7 / 33.2 24.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.6 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 11.0 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
HC
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
HC
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -1.9
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
SIE
HC
SIE
ML
52% 16-15
66% 23-12
61% 19-12
48% 16-17
ATS
55% 17-14
66% 23-12
64% 21-12
48% 16-17
TTL
58% 18-13
54% 19-16
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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