Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Blue Devils SHU @ CCSU

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

2-3  |  Road

106
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Detrick Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT

BLUE DEVILSCCSU

3-2  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
100%
PIONEERS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Sacred Heart)
PioneersSHU (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsCCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

54.0%

Blue Devils Cover

46.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)

SHU By 1-7 points

26.2%

SHU By 8-14 points

16.9%

CCSU By 1-7 points

24.3%

CCSU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
79
SACRED HEART
78
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Simulated Score
68
SACRED HEART
72
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pioneers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pioneers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 SHU @ CCSU 106 - 108
Nov 21, 2024 CCSU @ SHU 54 - 67
Feb 24, 2024 CCSU @ SHU 68 - 67
Feb 8, 2024 SHU @ CCSU 70 - 77
Feb 25, 2023 SHU @ CCSU 69 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +26.5% more
Sacred Heart: 9.3 vs Central Connecticut: 6.8
Turnovers (L5) +16.2% more
Sacred Heart: 12.3 vs Central Connecticut: 10.3
Free Throw % (L5) +1.8%
Sacred Heart: 71.8% vs Central Connecticut: 70.1%
Blocks (L5) +173.8% more
Central Connecticut: 4.6 vs Sacred Heart: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHU Score 79.0 106
CCSU Score 78.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.1 / 35.0 44.0 / 43.0
Assists 13.9 / 14.9 22.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.6 / 1.7 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 41.1 61.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 70.1 / 71.8 76.0 / 96.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 34.5 32.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.8 / 9.3 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 12.3 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
CCSU Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
CCSU Advantage
14-13-1 (51.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCSU
SHU
CCSU
SHU
ML
57% 17-13
61% 20-13
57% 17-13
73% 24-9
ATS
63% 19-11
76% 25-8
57% 17-13
73% 24-9
TTL
60% 18-12
58% 19-14
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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