AI Model Win Probability
ORANGE
100%
JAYHAWKS
0%
ORANGE
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
SYR By 1-7 points
15.3%
SYR By 8-14 points
5.8%
KU By 1-7 points
26.2%
KU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Syracuse
92
SYRACUSE
Kansas
99
KANSAS
Simulated Score
Syracuse
69
SYRACUSE
Kansas
78
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
SYR @ KU
60 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.4% more
Kansas: 6.4
vs
Syracuse: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.8%
Kansas: 71.0%
vs
Syracuse: 56.3%
Steals (L5)
+30.6% more
Syracuse: 6.7
vs
Kansas: 4.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Syracuse: 32.2%
vs
Kansas: 29.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SYR Score
92.0
60
KU Score
99.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 32.2
31.0 / 23.0
Assists
15.6 / 14.7
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
6.4 / 5.5
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 47.8
44.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 56.3
90.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 38.6
49.0 / 29.0
Steals
4.6 / 6.7
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 11.5
15.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
SYR
KU
SYR
ML
57%
20-15
78%
25-7
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
ATS
49%
17-18
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
TTL
60%
21-14
66%
21-11
100%
31-0
100%
32-0