CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
9-7 | Road
130
NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
2-15 | Home
143
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
PELICANS
100%
BULLS
--
PELICANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)
CHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
NO By 1-7 points
24.3%
NO By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
126
CHICAGO
New Orleans
125
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Chicago
108
CHICAGO
New Orleans
112
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pelicans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pelicans (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Pelicans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o243.5
Win
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim
u243.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
NO @ CHI
118 - 134
Dec 14, 2025
NO @ CHI
114 - 104
Nov 24, 2025
CHI @ NO
130 - 143
Jan 14, 2025
NO @ CHI
119 - 113
Oct 23, 2024
CHI @ NO
111 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.7% more
Chicago: 7.6
vs
New Orleans: 4.6
Assists (L5)
+20.0% more
Chicago: 28.5
vs
New Orleans: 22.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Chicago: 32.7%
vs
New Orleans: 29.6%
Steals (L5)
+48.9% more
New Orleans: 9.6
vs
Chicago: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
126.0
130
NO Score
125.0
143
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 32.7
37.0 / 40.0
Assists
22.8 / 28.5
28.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.6 / 7.6
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 43.9
51.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 77.3
69.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
43.4 / 47.1
55.0 / 33.0
Steals
9.6 / 6.4
13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 13.8
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
CHI
NO
CHI
ML
62%
98-61
56%
54-42
58%
48-35
57%
46-35
ATS
68%
107-51-1
65%
62-33-1
58%
48-35
57%
46-35
TTL
75%
119-40
58%
56-40
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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