CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
3-2 | Road
74
BAYLOR
BEARSBAY
4-0 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
0%
BEARS
100%
BLUEJAYS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Creighton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CREI -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)
CREI By 1-7 points
24.3%
CREI By 8-14 points
26.8%
BAY By 1-7 points
12.2%
BAY By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Creighton
85
CREIGHTON
Baylor
76
BAYLOR
Simulated Score
Creighton
75
CREIGHTON
Baylor
78
BAYLOR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bluejays
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bluejays (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
CREI @ BAY
74 - 81
Mar 19, 2023
CREI @ BAY
85 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+26.3% more
Creighton: 42.0
vs
Baylor: 31.0
Blocks (L5)
+60.8% more
Baylor: 4.6
vs
Creighton: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+13.5% more
Baylor: 7.5
vs
Creighton: 6.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.3%
Baylor: 76.7%
vs
Creighton: 67.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CREI Score
85.0
74
BAY Score
76.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 28.5
39.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.7 / 16.9
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 44.8
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 67.4
75.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
31.0 / 42.0
45.0 / 28.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.6
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 11.6
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
BAY
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
BAY
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
BAY
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAY
CREI
BAY
CREI
ML
58%
19-14
52%
17-16
53%
17-15
70%
21-9
ATS
58%
19-14
58%
19-14
53%
17-15
70%
21-9
TTL
45%
15-18
52%
17-16
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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