WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
4-2 | Road
74
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
3-2 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
100%
MINERS
0%
TRIBE
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (UTEP)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTEP -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)
W&M By 1-7 points
20.1%
W&M By 8-14 points
9.3%
UTEP By 1-7 points
27.4%
UTEP By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
William & Mary
73
WILLIAM & MARY
UTEP
77
UTEP
Simulated Score
William & Mary
68
WILLIAM & MARY
UTEP
72
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Miners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Miners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Miners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
W&M @ UTEP
74 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.0% more
William & Mary: 4.5
vs
UTEP: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+38.0% more
William & Mary: 20.0
vs
UTEP: 12.4
Rebounding (L5)
+15.8% more
William & Mary: 40.4
vs
UTEP: 34.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
William & Mary: 47.0%
vs
UTEP: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
W&M Score
73.0
74
UTEP Score
77.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 32.5
20.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.4 / 20.0
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.7 / 4.5
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 47.0
37.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 70.8
67.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 40.4
33.0 / 40.0
Steals
10.0 / 9.3
15.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 14.2
15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
W&M
UTEP
W&M
ML
70%
21-9
55%
17-14
72%
21-8
61%
19-12
ATS
57%
17-13
63%
19-11-1
73%
22-8
61%
19-12
TTL
60%
18-12
61%
19-12
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
