AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
BEARCATS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
BEARCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Cincinnati)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)
NJIT By 1-7 points
4.8%
NJIT By 8-14 points
1.1%
CIN By 1-7 points
15.3%
CIN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
54
NJIT
Cincinnati
69
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
NJIT
61
NJIT
Cincinnati
82
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bearcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bearcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Bearcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
NJIT @ CIN
67 - 94
Nov 30, 2022
NJIT @ CIN
60 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+75.2% more
Cincinnati: 16.8
vs
NJIT: 9.6
Blocks (L5)
+51.5% more
Cincinnati: 6.2
vs
NJIT: 4.1
Steals (L5)
+41.9% more
Cincinnati: 7.1
vs
NJIT: 5.0
Rebounding (L5)
+13.9% more
Cincinnati: 40.4
vs
NJIT: 35.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
54.0
67
CIN Score
69.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 29.5
38.0 / 39.0
Assists
16.8 / 9.6
24.0 / 12.0
Blocks
6.2 / 4.1
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 37.9
49.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
63.0 / 68.0
67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 35.5
38.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.0
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 13.4
9.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
CIN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
CIN
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
NJIT
CIN
NJIT
ML
67%
22-11
78%
25-7
74%
23-8
62%
20-12
ATS
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
74%
23-8
62%
20-12
TTL
67%
22-11
47%
15-17
100%
31-0
100%
32-0